Test if plot random effects on baseline longevity improve predictions:

  • sim1: no random effect
  • sim2: random effect on psi

Rhat

Divergent transitions

Density plot of each parameter by species id

Data distribution

Size, temperature, precipitation and competition effect

Survival functions

Predictions

Out-of-bag accuracy

Using four different metrics:

  • Sensitivity measures the percentage of dead trees that are identified as dead
  • Specificity measures the percentage of alive trees that are correctly identified as alive
  • Accuracy is the ratio of number of correct predictions to the total of predictions
  • Accuracy balanced considers unbalanced accuracy predictions of positive and negative events (sensitivity and specificity)

Sampling time